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5 bold predictions for the Mariners in the 2021 season

By Willie Keeler

MESA, ARIZONA - MARCH 03: Kyle Lewis #1 of the Seattle Mariners dives back to first base against the Chicago Cubs in the first inning on March 03, 2021 at Sloan Park in Mesa, Arizona. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)
MESA, ARIZONA - MARCH 03: Kyle Lewis #1 of the Seattle Mariners dives back to first base against the Chicago Cubs in the first inning on March 03, 2021 at Sloan Park in Mesa, Arizona. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images) /
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Seattle Mariners Dylan Moore
ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA – JULY 29: Tommy La Stella #9 of the Los Angeles Angels tags out Dylan Moore #25 of the Seattle Mariners attempting to steal second base as umpire Rob Drake #30 makes the ball during the third inning of a game at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on July 29, 2020 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images) /

Mariners lead the league in stolen bases, Moore finishes top 3 in the league

Seattle went crazy on the basepaths last season finishing 3rd in the league in steals with 50 while finishing 26th in OBP. This means that when the Mariners got on base, manager Scott Servais was sending his guys much more than the league average.

It also is clear that Servais wants to keep that going in 2021, if not more. Servais said recently that the Mariners are going to be very active on the basepaths due to some advanced analytical findings and their base-stealing talent. Because of this, I see the Mariners trying to take advantage of their likely scarce on-base opportunities and leading the league in steals.

Their leader last season, Dylan Moore, had 12 in just 38 games played. The math on that pace is that if he got on base and stole like he did last year, he would have around 45 stolen bases. As his hitting statistics from last year will likely regress, I could see Moore having 40 stolen bases which would most likely put him in the top 3 in the American League for steals.

Also, what’s interesting about Seattle’s stolen base numbers from last season is that Dee Strange-Gordon and Mallex Smith only combined for 5 stolen bases so their departures will not actually affect their numbers as much as some might think.

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