Rockies vs. Mariners prediction and odds for Friday, April 14 (Fade Gomber)


Everyone has certain players they LOVE to wager on and some even have players they can’t help but fade. 

That’s the case for me today as I looked at the slate of probable pitchers and my eyes settled on Austin Gomber. 

Nothing against Gomber personally, but his pitching is often fun to bet against. It hasn’t been all bad throughout his career, but Gomber is especially bad on the road and against right-handed heavy lineups – two things he will face tonight. 

Rockies vs. Mariners odds, run line and total

Rockies vs. Mariners prediction and pick

Gomber has had just one season under a 4.00 ERA (COVID-shortened year) and he’s already off to an ugly start with eight earned runs allowed across 10 ⅔ innings this year. 

He owns a career 5.05 ERA against right-handed hitters and a 5.38 ERA on the road. Going by those stats, Gomber could allow five or six runs and be right in line with his career numbers. 

On the other side of the diamond, the Mariners’ best hitters are right-handed, including Julio Rodriguez, Ty France, Eugenio Suarez, Cal Raleigh (switch hitter), Teoscar Hernandez and Cooper Hummel (switch hitter). 

Opposing Gomber is Marco Gonzales, a nine-year veteran who has been one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball over the past few years – turning in a 4.13 ERA or better in each of the past five seasons. 

Gonzales hasn’t had much of a difference pitching to right or left handed hitters, but he has been considerably better at home (career 3.85 ERA at home vs. 4.32 on the road) and this Rockies lineup has been in the middle-of-the-pack in terms of run production to open the season. 

I’ll bet on the steady vet at home over the fringey starter headed into a worst-case scenario matchup any day. 

Pick: Mariners First Five Run Line 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.