3 Reasons Mariners' Julio Rodriguez will win MVP in 2024... and 2 reasons he won't

Julio Rodriguez is entering his 3rd season in the MLB, and looks better than ever. Here are 3 reasons why he will win the MVP for the Mariners, and 2 he won't
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Reason #2 he won't win: Consistency

This is a close second for me, and it needs to be mentioned. Julio has struggled with consistency so far in his young career, and I think it rubs people the wrong way sometimes. To them, I want to send a reminder that the kid just turned 23, and completed his age 21 and 22 seasons over the past two years.

Also, it's worth taking a look at how his splits ACTUALLY look instead of just blindly believing a narrative.

Month

2022 Slash

2023 Slash

March/April

.206/.284/.260

.239/.301/.443

May

.309/.339/.527

.252/.314/.441

June

.280/.361/.542

.220/.291/.330

July

.267/.337/.547

.293/.353/.472

August

.240/.288/.413

.429/.474/.724

September/October

.394/.456/.747

.227/.277/.496

He was fairly consistent in 2022, suffering from a slow start before heating up. 2023 was a different story and didn't look nearly as good from a consistency standpoint. Julio can heat up with the best of them, evidenced by his historic August. Is the consistency a problem? A season like 2023 might accentuate the argument, especially with a slow start paired with a slow finish.

If Julio has a handful of "bad" months, from the standpoint of an MVP candidate, that go hand-in-hand with the Mariners not performing well, then I think it's going to be a mark against him winning the award.