Luis Urias will put up a higher fWAR than Geno this year
I have gone back and forth on Urias all offseason. I thought he could be a good player but would be better suited for a platoon or a super utility role. I am now in the camp that Urias has a very solid chance to post a higher wRC+ and fWAR than Eugenio Suarez will this year.
Urias came up as a top prospect, peaking at number 23 overall in MLB Pipelines top 100 prospects of 2019. He was traded to the Brewers in 2019 as part of the deal that sent Trent Grisham and Zach Davis to San Diego. He got a cup of coffee in 2020, but really broke out in 2021, putting up a 112 wRC+ and a 2.1 fWAR with 23 home runs. He followed it up with another 2.3 fWAR season and a 110 wRC+. He fits the control the zone model Dipoto loves with a career 10.5% walk rate and a 21.6% strikeout rate.
Urias' was only 26 years old in 2023 and it was full of injuries, only playing in 52 games. It's so hard to just write Urias off as a bad player after two seasons as an above average player. In 2024, Urias could very well get back to his 2021 and 2022 seasons, but if he is around a two-win player and puts up an above average wRC+, that will exceed a lot of people's expectations. I am going bolder and predicting a 2.5-win player with a 115 wRC+ with 15 home runs.