Although they're all part of the same organization, Seattle's major-league lineup and its farm system are almost polar opposites. The big league roster is characterized by strong pitching and defense with relatively weak offensive production. The farm system contains prospects with some of the highest offensive upside of any players in the minor leagues, but there's a lack of pitching talent. How did this happen?
David Laurila of FanGraphs recently had a conversation with Justin Toole, the Mariners' Director of Player Development, that was centered around the exciting offensive potential of the organization's future talent. There's quite a bit of detailed information in the interview, especially regarding what the team's top prospects have been up to, but there were two key points worth highlighting.
Broadly speaking, Toole cites the individualistic structure of the development program as a key driver behind what has made the program successful in the past few years.
"From a player development standpoint, I think the strength is the individuality with how we handle our players. When we get people into our system, we figure out their strengths, we figure out their weaknesses, we help them understand their identity. We work with our players to get a feel for where they think they are, and where they want to go."
This makes sense, as not all of the top prospects have the same strengths and hitting tools. While names like Lazaro Montes and Colt Emerson both find themselves near the top of FanGraphs' hitting projections, Montes has a 65-grade power tool with a 50-grade hit tool and Emerson has the opposite, meaning he's more of a traditional slugger while Emerson is better at maximizing batting average.
When asked about preparing their players for taking plate appearances in the least hitter-friendly ballpark in MLB and whether that has been a contributor to Seattle's offensive struggles, Toole mentioned that the organization aims to craft an approach that will be successful in any ballpark.
Most fans care more about winning in the present than they do about relying on an uncertain but potentially bright future. This is understandable since, as they say, a bird in the hand is worth more two in the bush.
However, it might not be much longer before we begin to see the team's young prospect talent grow and flourish. Jerry Dipoto has already stated that he plans to lean on Ryan Bliss, Leo Rivas, and notably Cole Young to handle second base in 2025. With an elite rotation under team control and abundant position player talent on the cusp of cracking the big leagues, the Mariners could have the beginnings of a homegrown dynasty on their hands.
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