Should the Seattle Mariners Extend GM Jerry Dipoto?
The Seattle Mariners organization at the end of 2015 was in shambles. Sporting a roster of potential young talents and aging veterans past their prime at the major league level, the team finished 76-86 with a payroll nearing $120 million. The disappointing season led to the organization parting ways with their longtime GM Jack Zduriencik in favor of Jerry Dipoto, a young executive recently parted from the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim organization.
In the following three years after his initial hiring in late 2015, the team accumulated win totals of 86, 78, and 89 with a payroll between $140 million and $160 million. While these three seasons are the oldest glimpses at what Dipoto can do to build a playoff-caliber team, they are only a few of the many reasons why he should be rewarded with a contract extension to validate the sweeping changes he has made to the baseball side of the organization.
Jerry Dipoto has long been under fire over his managerial methods during his time in the Seattle Mainers organization. While many believe “Trader Jerry” has made more than enough moves and been given ample time to give the city a long-awaited playoff berth, the Dipoto tenure in Seattle did not follow a linear path.
In order to fairly analyze his time in Seattle, we must break down his six years into two distinct eras: 2015-2018 and 2019-present. These three-year stretches had distinctly opposite goals in mind and grading them both under the same criteria fails to grasp the whole picture. Let’s take a look at both in order to better understand why Jerry Dipoto is deserving of a contract extension.
Mariners in a “Win-Now” Mode at the start
In his first offseason, Dipoto was tasked with building a winning team with a roster already built up by the previous regime. Left with a bottom-five farm system in the league and little payroll flexibility, Dipoto made 7 different trades involving 35 different players to completely revamp the roster.
While it meant shipping away some young lottery tickets that would eventually blossom into Major League talent, (Freddy Peralta) the team dramatically improved and won 86 games in the 2016 season. The positive end to the season left the organization primed for an eventful offseason in order to put them over the top and crack to playoffs.
The following offseason featured even more action than the one prior. Dipoto made a whopping 15 trades featuring 42 different players in just one offseason. These trades featured the acquisition of major Mariner cornerstones such as Mitch Haniger and Jean Segura. While the vast majority of the trades were minor acquisitions that resulted in net zeroes for both sides, the desire to build a roster that was worthy of competing was clear.
Dipoto was trying to construct the team he envisioned making the playoffs, not the team the previous regime had inherited to him. The result was unfortunate, as a 78-84 record left many questioning if his efforts were all for naught.
The offseason preceding the 2018 season was much more subdued than years prior. Featuring 7 minor trades often involving bonus pool money, the Mariners saw themselves finish as a finalist in the Shohei Ohtani sweepstakes, an unfortunate outcome that was largely out of their control.
Outside of acquiring Dee Gordon from the Marlins and signing Juan Nicasio, the Mariners were largely silent during the winter months. However, despite the lack of significant talent acquisition, the team saw a dramatic improvement, finishing 89-73. The success was fueled in large part by a historic season from Edwin Diaz that saw him finish the year with 57 saves.
While these three years saw varying levels of team success, Dipoto had been left with an aging roster with very little roster flexibility and was told to make it work. Having two winning seasons with an aging inherited roster is a success. Dipoto did not overwhelm and turn nothing into something. He did exactly as much as he could have with the assets he had in place.
Without a shred of prospect capital and a core of talent locked in for the foreseeable future, the significant pieces of the team largely went unchanged. While the revolving door of supplemental pieces was real, cornerstones such as Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Kyle Seager, and Felix Hernandez occupied a large amount of the payroll and were tasked with making the playoffs year in and year out to no avail.
While it is fair to criticize the lack of a playoff birth from Dipoto’s teams, it is also fair to acknowledge how little roster flexibility he had and to understand that he may or may not have been able to build the team he truly envisioned. He built multiple winning teams and acquired a young controllable asset in Mitch Haniger. It may have been underwhelming in the eyes of overly optimistic fans, but to call his first three years a failure is overly critical and an unfair assessment. The end result was a net positive.
Mariners current status “The Reset”
Following the conclusion of the 2018 season, the Mariners were faced with a difficult decision. Should they go all-in on a rapidly aging team that had eked out an improbable 89 win season, or hit the reset button and build a more solid foundation for a team down the road?
The pivotal decision to rebuild after winning 89 games proved to be the right one. With even fewer reinforcements coming in the minor leagues than before and marquee free agent Nelson Cruz set to hit the open market, Dipoto decided to bite the bullet and shift the team in another direction in order to build for the future.
While Mariner fans are likely tired of hearing the phrase “there’s always next year,” this decision was unequivocally the right choice and needed to be done. The core had been tried and proved to fall short. The team as constructed was simply not good enough to become a true playoff threat. Thus, blowing up the core and bringing in a young nucleus of talent was best for the organization’s playoff chances.
The 2018-2019 offseason saw franchise players such as James Paxton, Robinson Cano, Edwin Diaz, and Jean Segura get shipped off to the Yankees, Mets, and Phillies in three separate deals. While it hurt to see so much talent go at the time, the trades have proved to be well worth it in the long run.
The Paxton deal added Justus Sheffield and Erik Swanson to the organization. The Segura trade added J.P. Crawford and Carlos Santana (Santana was traded shortly after for Edwin Encarnacion and a Competitive balance pick). Finally, the Cano and Diaz trade acquired top prospects Jarred Kelenic and Justin Dunn while simultaneously getting major salary relief from Cano’s contract.
This offseason alone proved to work wonders as all five players previously mentioned in these three trades alone are on the Major League roster and contributing in major ways. Coupled with the signing of Yusei Kikuchi and the smaller acquisitions of Jake Fraley, Shed Long, and Omar Narvaez, Dipoto’s major selloff saw a large influx of talent into the system in a very short amount of time.
The following seasons saw fewer pieces sold off due to the simple fact that there just were not many pieces to sell. The 2019 and 2020 seasons were primarily a wash, rebuilding the roster and trying to find diamonds in the rough. The biggest trade following the primary liquidation was a trade that saw Austin Nola, a career minor league infielder that had recently converted to catcher, get shipped to San Diego in exchange for a package of four young players: Taylor Trammell, Ty France, Luis Torrens, and Andres Munoz.
Turning a career journeyman into a definitive talent and capitalizing on his value at a time of transition proved to pay dividends for the Mariners future as they acquired four starting-caliber players all under control for years to come.
The crucial aspect that truly solidifies Dipoto’s worthiness of an extension is his ability to implement a widespread player development team that can successfully cultivate talent at the Minor League level.
The current team has a top three farm system in the league and has seen early-round picks such as Kyle Lewis, Logan Gilbert, George Kirby, Emerson Hancock, and Brandon Williamson show sustained success while international signings such as Julio Rodriguez and Noelvi Marte headline the position players in the minors.
Dipoto’s regime has shown an innate ability to locate talent everywhere possible and successfully develop said talent into valuable assets the team can either further develop or trade for big league talent as soon as the time is right.
The ability to both acquire young talent and develop them into Major League caliber players are the two most important aspects of a rebuild and Jerry Dipoto proved he is more than capable of both.
With the team well ahead of schedule and fighting for a playoff chance, the farm system sitting pretty amongst the best in the league, and a payroll ready to expand in the coming offseason, it is clear that it is in the organization’s best interest to extend Jerry Dipoto and reward his front office regime with the chance to see the entirety of their vision through.