Fangraphs has released their 2021 ZiPS projections for the Seattle Mariners
Every year Dan Szymborski releases his ZiPS projections for all 30 teams on Fangraphs and today he released his projections for the Seattle Mariners in 2021. You can see Dan’s full projections for yourself by clicking the link here.
In summary, the projections are not very kind to the Mariners. Starting with some of the Mariners best hitters in 2020 ZiPS projects Kyle Lewis to have an OPS of just .710 and a batting average of .244. It also has Dylan Moore hitting .219 with a .687 OPS and has Evan White hitting a .210/.270/.373 (.643 OPS) batting line with 18 home runs in his first 162 game season.
They’re also not too kind to some of the Mariners pitchers like Justus Sheffield who is projected to have a 4.49 ERA in 2021, as well as Yusei Kikuchi with a 4.45 ERA, Justin Dunn with a 4.93 ERA, and Yohan Ramirez with a 4.92 ERA.
While a lot of players showed improvement in 2020 and are projected to do worse in 2021, there are also some players that the ZiPS projections really like. The projections have Ty France, who figures to be Seattle’s DH in 2021, with a .772 OPS and the highest WAR on the team at 2.6. It also has Mitch Haniger as the Mariners best hitter with a .799 OPS.
The projections have Marco Gonzales as the best starting pitcher with a 4.13 ERA, and out of the bullpen, the recently acquired Rafael Montero with a 3.58 ERA and Sam Delaplane, who has not yet made his MLB debut is projected to have a 3.98 ERA.
As for the Mariners’ top prospects who figure to debut in 2021, the projections like Jarred Kelenic to have a .743 OPS and lead the team in home runs with 24 (if he played a full season in the majors). While the projections have Logan Gilbert with a 4.61 ERA, they don’t see Taylor Trammell having success if he is called up as a full season’s worth of at-bats has him hitting .205 with a .602 OPS.
Again, you can click the Twitter link above (Or click here) to view the full ZiPS projections for the Seattle Mariners in 2021 where Fangraphs has in-depth stats for all of the Mariners players and top prospects.