Mariners v. Tigers: 3 Up, 3 Down
The Mariners come off of an up-and-down series against the Tigers sitting at 10-13, good for last in the AL West. After a miserable first game of the series, they bounced back to get series win.
This weekend the Mariners will play, what is in my opinion, a make-or-break series against the Cleveland Indians. If they can take two of three or even sweep, they’ll be right back in it. However, if they drop the series or get swept, 10-16 is a scarily deep hole to have to climb out of.
Seattle has to put the pieces together quickly. There is a lot of talent on the team, and they need to be firing on all cylinders by the time everyone gets healthy, so that they can have some momentum rolling into the second half of the season.
The future aside, we’re here to look at the last series. In the series the Mariners got outscored 20-19, but outhit Detroit 38-32. In all the confusion, we’re going to look at three positives and negatives. This is 3 Up, 3 Down.
3 Down
Game one of the series was awful for the Mariners, and thankfully, I can find quite a few downs from that game alone. Thankfully, because there weren’t many downs to be had from the other two games, but we’ll try and look at the whole body of work and see what we can find. First though, we’ll hit the obvious.
Mitch Haniger (and to a lesser extent King Felix)
The Mariners saw both players depart game one of the series with injuries, fly back to Seattle, and then be sent to the 10-Day Disabled List. Most would have said preseason that the Felix would’ve obviously been the bigger blow. However, where it stands currently, there’s no real question Haniger is the more critical loss. As the MLB leader in WAR prior to his injury, Haniger has proved stellar at the plate and in the field.
To fill the void he left, the Mariners recalled Ben Gamel from Tacoma. I believe though, that should for some reason, the Haniger injury be something bigger, requiring a longer recovery time, the fanbase will begin to clamor for Tyler O’Neill’s promotion. I do not think this is a smart call for the Mariners who have a history of rushing players to the big leagues. O’Neill is good. I firmly believe he will be a huge asset for the team in the future, but he is not ready yet. Getting him up too quickly would hurt him more than he’d help the team.
Felix’s loss is heavy, don’t get me wrong. While not having a banner year, he is still the face of the franchise, and a quality starter day in and day out, a commodity the team can ill-afford to lose at this point. Seattle has the 12th-ranked rotation ERA in the AL. Their Batting Average Against sits at the second-worst .279. With Hernandez down, the Mariners are left to field a new starter. There aren’t many options what with the fanbase already clamoring for Miranda and Gallardo to get the boot.
They can’t just replace him. A team can’t just plug a manageable starter in to fill Felix’s shoes. This injury means 2-3 weeks without a #HappyFelixDay. He’ll miss a home start against the division-rival Rangers, and with the team being in last place, that feels like a must-win series.
The Mariners will likely slip Chris Heston in, and as good as he has been in past years, does not seem to have the same stuff. On Tuesday he replaced Felix and gave up five runs on seven hits in two innings. He is not a major league starter, but the M’s will probably try to shove him into that role.
What is up with the pitching?
This is the million-dollar question for the Mariners at the moment. Some nights the pitching looks like the best in the league, others make you want to fire the whole crew. On Tuesday the squad got absolutely shelled. To say it was awful is an understatement. Giving up 19 runs on 24 hits, they were torched worse than any other team yet this season. We saw this happen once in Spring Training too. Back in Peoria, the Brewers took them for 24 runs.
Honestly, I am totally baffled by the night and day inconsistency that is shown by the Mariners’ collective pitching staff. Some days it’s great, some days it’s awful. The only thing I’m certain of is that the Mariners need to pull it together ASAP if they want to salvage 2017.
Who’s on first?
Right now the Mariners are caught between a rock and a hard place with their first baseman situation. Dan Vogelbach was tearing up AAA pitching when Seattle called him up to replace a struggling Danny Valencia. The latter is hitting .188 currently, and that includes a 4-for-7 stretch in his last two games. Vogelbach has played 2 games during this most recent big league stint. He hit 1-for-4 in each contest.
If Valencia can remember to pack his good hitting for the trip to Cleveland and then not lose his luggage for the rest of 2017, the Mariners have themselves a quality first baseman. This is a big if, and we could easily be calling for his demotion again in the next few weeks.
3 Up
The Mariners showed up in the last two games of the series. They were night-and-day different in games two and three from game one. Things are starting to click for Seattle, and if they can buckle down the things the we talked about on the last page, then maybe we can hold onto 2017’s proverbial towel a little while longer, before throwing
it in.
Offense on offense on offense
The Mariners brought their bats to Detroit. Every
one did. Even in the meltdown that occurred Tuesday, they collected nine runs on fifteen hits. Jean Segura is back and just as good as he was. Haniger went two-for-two before leaving the game with the oblique strain. Cano’s batting average is climbing steadily. With five multi-hit games on the season, four have come in the last nine games. Cruz’s resurgence should also be noted. Now hitting .308, he has silenced the critics who were worried after a slow start. The Mariners really seem to be picking up their offensive game.
Big Maple
James Alston Paxton. My goodness. The man is playing outside of his mind. In 32.1 innings this year, he has an ERA of 1.39 and a WHIP of .835. Fun fact: He has more starts of 7+ IP with 0 runs allowed (3) than every team but the Royals and Cardinals who he trails by one and is tied with respectively. Paxton is showing the MLB that he has legit Ace stuff, and that is huge for the Mariners if they wan’t to capitalize on the Cano/Cruz/Hernandez window.
The Flow Bros
Taylor Motter and Ben Gamel emerged from this series as winners. Both hit well, played solid in the field, and their hair seems to blow up Mariners’ twitter at all times.
Motter, seemingly, can do no wrong. His groundouts get forgiven when he steps up an AB later and gives a lucky fan sitting in the center field bleachers a souvenir. Motter has a WAR of 0.6 as a utility player who wasn’t been an everyday player until the injury bug struck Seattle. He has five homers with 13 RBIs in 61 plate appearances. Pair that with the stellar defense he displayed when getting the last out of Thursday’s game, and he’s ceme
nting himself as an everyday player even when the M’s are at full health.
Gamel in his first two games of the 2017 campaign only hit 2-for-8, but one of those hits knocked in Kyle Seager to win the game for the M’s.
Let’s be real here, I really just lumped him in with Motter because he played fine enough that I justify calling them “The Flow Bros.”
Next: Mariners happy to see Paxton bounce back
The Mariners are in a tough place right now. If they can keep their head above water and hold their ground in the division race until Felix and Haniger come back, there may be hope. By the time they come back, Drew Smyly will be nearing his return and the Mariners can start putting it all together. That said, if the team falls apart now, this season could be over before the All Star Break. Only time will tell, but this team looks oh so close to the breakout it needs.