Preview: Seattle @ Toronto

Blah, blah, blah blah,

Seriously as hard as I try I can’t get myself up for the series. Although I’m looking forward to the final home stand, other than it being the end of a long season. Oakland and Texas are always fun teams to play regardless of the situation.

Being mathematically eliminated the other day just drove the final stake into the coffin.

Rosters

Pos	Mariners	WAR	wOBA	Pos	Blue Jays	WAR	wOBA
	Catchers				Catchers
C	Rob Johnson	0.4	0.274	C	Rod Barajas	0.8	0.287
C	Kenji Johjima	0.7	0.293	C	Raul Chavez	0.3	0.284
C	Adam Moore	-0.1	0.099	C	Kyle Phillips	-0.1	0.195

	Infielders				Infielders
2b	Jose Lopez	2.2	0.324	2b	Aaron Hill	3.7	0.353
3b	Jack Hannahan	0.8	0.304	3b	Edwin Encarnacion	0.9	0.317
SS	Jack Wilson	0.1	0.253	SS	John McDonald	0	0.261
😕	Josh Wilson	0.4	0.269	1b	Kevin Millar	-0.8	0.289
ANY	Bill Hall	0	0.263	1b	Lyle Overbay	1.8	0.365
1b	Mike Carp	0.2	0.354	SS	Marco Scutaro	4.3	0.354
3b	Adrian Beltre	1.9	0.299
3b	Matt Tuiasosopo	0.1	0.296		Outfielders
				Of	Jose Bautista	0.8	0.333
	Outfielders			Of	Joe Inglett	0	0.317
of	Ichiro Suzuki	4.9	0.372	Of	Adam Lind	3	0.385
of	Franklin Gutierrez	5	0.33	Of	Travis Snider	-0.2	0.326
of	Michael Saunders	0	0.259	Of	Vernon Wells	-0.4	0.316
of	Ryan Langerhans	0.6	0.301
					DH
	DH			DH	Randy Ruiz	0.5	0.375
DH	Ken Griffey Jr.	0.1	0.321
😕	Mike Sweeney	0.2	0.334

I just want to point out that Michael Saunder is now worth exactly replacement value. He has brought his wOBA up over 30 points and just thought I’d … throw that out there for what it’s worth.

Pitching Match-ups

Blue Jays	wFB/C	wSL/C	wCT/C	wCB/C	wCH/C	wSF/C	wKN/C
Ricky Romero	-0.68	-0.81	X	0.58	1.54	X	X
Roy Halladay	0.08	X	1	1.21	-0.58	X	X
David Purcey	-0.41	-0.76	X	-0.42	1.32	X	X
Brian Tallet	-0.6	-0.69	-2.62	X	1.96	X	X


Mariners Pitcher	wFB/C	wSL/C	wCT/C	wCB/C	wCH/C	wSF/C	wKN/C
Felix Hernandez	0.84	0.76	X	0.92	2.43	X	X
Douglas Fister	-1.33	1.91	X	-2.92	2.34	X	X
Ian Snell	0.65	0.57	X	-3.71	0.7	X	X
Ryan Rowland-Smith	0.25	1.01	X	2.15	0.19	X	X

Thursday: Romero vs. Felix!

Friday: Halladay vs. Fister! (I had to do something to spice this up … he’s going to get rocked again…)

Saturday: Purcey vs. Snell

Sunday: Tallet vs. RR-S

Legitimately Romero vs. Felix should be a great match-up. However Halladay is going to put Fister in his place and then we all have to watch Snell’s foot on Saturday and then RR-S will eat some innings and keep us in the game on Sunday. Here’s to the final road trip of the year!

Blue Jays	wFB	wSL	wCT	wCB	wCH	wSF	wKN
Jeremy Accardo	0.8	-1.3	-0.1	X	X	0.9	X
Shawn Camp	7.6	0	X	0.2	2.1	X	X
Jesse Carlson	-0.8	4.2	X	X	-0.2	X	X
Brett Cecil	-11.5	-5	X	1.4	-1.6	X	X
Scott Downs	4.3	-0.3	X	-0.4	X	X	X
Jason Frasor	8.8	4.5	X	X	0.8	-1.6	X
Dirk Hayhurst	1.2	-0.2	X	-0.7	0.8	X	X
Casey Janssen	-1.8	-5.5	-3	-1.1	-0.6	X	X
Brandon League	-2.7	-0.7	X	X	8.5	X	X
Scott Richmond	-9.7	-6.1	X	2.3	0.4	X	X
Josh Roenicke	-2.6	0.4	2.3	-0.2	-0.7	X	X
Marc Rzepczynski	-5.6	10.5	X	1	-1.4	X	X
Brian Wolfe	-4.1	0	-0.5	-2.2	0	X	X



Seattle Mariners	wFB	wSL	wCT	wCB	wCH	wSF	wKN
David Aardsma	19.3	1.5	X	0	X	-1.6	X
Shawn Kelley	4.1	-0.8	X	X	-0.3	X	X
Ian Snell	3.6	0.7	X	-4.6	0.8	X	X
Mark Lowe	2.4	9.8	X	X	-2.1	X	X
Randy Messenger	-1.8	-0.6	X	0.5	1.2	X	X
Jason Vargas	-2.4	-0.3	X	-4.2	0.3	X	X
Miguel Batista	-3.8	-0.6	0.3	-1	-0.2	-0.1	X
Chris Jakubauskas	-4	X	X	1.4	-1.5	X	X
Carlos Silva	-5.4	0.7	X	X	-3.8	X	X
Brandon Morrow	-9.4	0.7	X	0.2	-1.2	X	X
Luke French	-11.7	-0.2	X	X	-1.1	X	X
Garrett Olson	-15.1	0.1	X	4.1	3.8	X	X

In general … something I’ve noticed is that every day David Aardsma’s fastball is worth more and more… every day Carlos Silva is worth less and less… True story.

I mentioned this being the final road trip of the year for us above. Now just hypothetically since we are in fact out of the mathematical equation for the playoffs… but IF we were in a pennant race let me be frank and honest and say I’d be rather angry that we were on the road at Toronto and Tampa Bay. Am I the only one? That’s some serious traveling to do after a long season. There are 5 teams in the AL central and we couldn’t have round robin’d them to end our road trip, and cause that late season rush and travel to be little less harsh? Just randomly bitter about that … please disregard, as this counts as my random rant for the day.

Side note … I want to go buy an iPhone, just so i can buy Fangraphs app for it. Yes, I would do that and if you don’t believe me ask my wife.

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