Analyzing the Mariners 2023 ZiPS Projections from Fangraphs and Dan Szymborski

2023 Mariners ZiPS Projections - The Bad

Big Dumper at just .222/.285/.449? I take umbrage with that. Or Dolores Umbridge. Whichever floats your boat. I understand why, but I can't help but be hopeful that a healthier Dumper with experience under his belt is going to perform better. Something like... .239/.311/.494. 30 HR. Book it.

I think we see a lot better average from Geno as well. He hit .236 last year after finally getting healthy. ZiPS has that as his 80th percentile, but I think the injury stuff really hurts him here. 80th percentile to me would be closer to the Cincinnati numbers we saw from a healthy Geno. Not last year.

I want to be mad at Ty France hitting in the 270s, but I can't. Not until he shows he can stop getting hit in the wrist. He's a .310 hitter when healthy and a .200 hitter when he isn't. So... .270 is fine I guess.

Penn Murfee surprises me a bit as well. He's the "worst" reliever for the Mariners after having a darn good 2022. Now, a 4.03 in 80 IP with 86 Ks still isn't bad, but i would expect Sadler, Gott, Campbell, or Speier to have worst projections.