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Top Five Targets for the Mariners once the lockout ends

By Christopher O'Day

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - JUNE 23: Trevor Story #27 of the Colorado Rockies reacts to the swing of the bat during the game against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on June 23, 2021 in Seattle, Washington. The Colorado Rockies beat the Seattle Mariners 5-2. (Photo by Alika Jenner/Getty Images)
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - JUNE 23: Trevor Story #27 of the Colorado Rockies reacts to the swing of the bat during the game against the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on June 23, 2021 in Seattle, Washington. The Colorado Rockies beat the Seattle Mariners 5-2. (Photo by Alika Jenner/Getty Images) /
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Mariners: Eddie Rosario
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – MAY 16: Eddie Rosario #20 of the Minnesota Twins reacts after being thrown out at third base in the second inning against the Seattle Mariners during their game at T-Mobile Park on May 16, 2019 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images) /

Eddie Rosario

I wrote about Eddie Rosario a couple of weeks ago. It seems like every year there are a couple of players where the projected salaries seem off for the value you can get for a player. Sometimes it’s too high, and other times it is too low. To me, Rosario’s projected contract seems like a steal. Here’s why.

He’s projected to get a short deal, somewhere around 2/15. Essentially, that’s a win a year. Maybe even just under. A win in free agency is somewhere around $8-10 million depending on where you look. So, all you would need from someone on a 2/15 deal is to provide around 2.0 WAR over that time.

Going backward, he has put up WAR numbers of 1.1, 1.2, 1.5, and 4.3 (!) over the last four seasons. 2019, the 1.5 season, would’ve been even better if not for an awful showing on defense (-1.4 dWAR). It’s reasonable to expect somewhere between 1.0-2.5 WAR for Rosario… per season. Even if you get his floor, the contract is still a slight win.

I think Rosario is going to give you more than that though. He’s put together a solid track record of 20 HR, a slash line of .275/.320/.480, a little bit of speed, 20-25 2B, and a nice mix of runs and RBI.

Part of this may just be that I want guys on the team who can hit the ball. If we can get some of them for a decent price, then the Mariners should go for it.

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