Sodo Mojo’s Top 40 Seattle Mariners Prospects: 25-21

PEORIA, AZ - FEBRUARY 21: Ichiro Suzuki of the Seattle Mariners in action during the spring training at the Peoria Stadium on February 21, 2020 in Peoria, Arizona. (Photo by Masterpress/Getty Images)
PEORIA, AZ - FEBRUARY 21: Ichiro Suzuki of the Seattle Mariners in action during the spring training at the Peoria Stadium on February 21, 2020 in Peoria, Arizona. (Photo by Masterpress/Getty Images)
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The Cactus League season is underway and the Mariners young players are playing quite well. But we continue to move along, unveiling our Top 40 Mariners prospects 5 at a time.

Today, we continue our official countdown, revealing the next 5 prospects to crack our Top 40 list. As we move up the list, more or more names will be familiar to Mariners fans. These are exciting times, so let’s get to it.

But before we do, let’s review our process. First, the rankers consisted of 4 staff writers. All 4 writers produced a list of their top prospects. The average rank of each player is the spot they landed on our list. In this case, the lower the number, the higher the rank.

Our rankers were not given any criteria for their list. Different eyes see different things and unique minds value things differently than others. There are no cookie cutters for prospect scouting and beauty is in the eye of the beholder.

Also, take these ranks with a grain of salt. We do not get to see many of these players often and are relying on graining video, scouting reports, and statistics to cover our bases. If you want top-end prospect ranks, I suggest Keith Law of ESPN and Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel.

Without any further delay, let’s get started.

62. Scouting Report. Pick Analysis. MLB ETA: 2020. player. RHP. LjayNewsome. 25

Nobody changed their prospect profile more than Ljay Newsome over the past year. He started 2019 as a soft-tossing right-handed pitcher who was nothing more than quality minor league depth. Now, he is a legitimate big league candidate.

Newsome went to Mariners “Gas Camp” last winter and saw his fastball jump from 84 MPH to 88-92 MPH, even touching 94 mph on occasion. But the velocity dipped in the middle of the season and was between 86-89 MPH.

This was still a significant jump for Newsome and if he can maintain his velo bump for an entire season, it would help Newsome a lot. Newsome needs the velocity to get average value from the fastball.

Newsome has a curveball, slider, and cutter that all grade out as average, and an above-average changeup as well. The stuff plays up thanks to plus command, but he may never be more than a #4 or #5 starter. A transition to the bullpen could help his velocity stay up and give him the best shot to stick in the majors.

We will be tracking Newsome all spring and summer and if the fastball velocity sits in the mid-80s, this may be his last trip inside the Top 30.

RHP. MLB ETA: 2023. DamonCasetta-Stubbs. player. Pick Analysis. 24. 62. Scouting Report

One of my favorite selections of the Jerry Dipoto era, Damon Casetta-Stubbs is a 19-year-old righty with nice potential and a solid floor. He has a sturdy build, standing a 6’4″, 225 lbs. The Vancouver Washington native split most of his season between West Virginia and Everett and battled through his first full season of pro ball.

Casetta-Stubbs sits comfortably between 88-91, but has hit 94 MPH in games, and reached 97 MPH inside work. He has two average breaking balls that both flash above-average, as well as a changeup that has flashed enough to give him a good chance at 4 pitches.

Casetta-Stubbs has solid command and is a good athlete with a nice delivery. The combination of stuff and command at the age of 19 isn’t something you see often. We are big fans of DCS on the website and are expecting big things from him in the coming years.

He will likely start the year back in West Virginia and have an opportunity to jump to the California League for Modesto by the end of 2020.

OF. MLB ETA: 2023. JonatanClase. Pick Analysis. 23. player. 62. Scouting Report

The Mariners are having a resurgence with the July 2nd signings, and Jonatan Clase is a good example. In 64 games in the DSL, Clase hit .300/.434/.444 with 31 stolen bases and a 147 wRC+. Clase’s power shows up more with doubles and triples, but at 17-years-old, there is time for some power to develop.

But even if the power never comes, Clase has some loud tools to carry him to the majors. He has elite speed, scoring 80-grade speed with plus outfield defense in center and a cannon for an arm. He’ll have a good chance to hit for average and get on base.

Clase has a fantastic strike zone discipline and pitch recognition, especially at his age. He walked nearly as much as he struck out, producing a 17.8% walk rate. He can use the whole field and has quick hands and a solid stroke.

If Clase’s tools max out, he’s a leadoff hitter who hits .300/.380/.420 with 10 home runs and 40 steals to go along with gold glove defense in center field. Still, he is just 17-years-old so the range of outcomes is vast.

You never can predict how teenagers will progress, especially when international free agents come stateside for the first time. But Clase’s toolset is far too interesting to rank him any lower. Clase could rocket into the Top 10 with a solid stateside debut, but that may have to wait until 2021.

RHP. SamDelaplane. player. 62. Scouting Report. Pick Analysis. MLB ETA: 2020. 22

Since arriving in the Mariners organization, Sam Delaplane has done one thing better than anybody in the organization: he strikes guys out. In his 2 full seasons in the minors, Delaplane has struck out 270 hitters in 161 innings, good for a 15.1 K/9 rate.

What’s interesting about Delaplane is that he doesn’t have overwhelming stuff. His fastball sits 91-95. He has a nice, hard sinker. His curveball is good, but not elite. He doesn’t have pinpoint command. But the results speak for themselves.

Delaplane generates so many swings-and-misses because he excels at “Arm tunneling”. All three of Delaplane’s offerings come from the exact same arm slot and are all thrown with the same arm speed. In short, he doesn’t do anything to tip his pitches, so hitters must rely on spin recognition to hit Delaplane.

It is unlikely that the strikeout rate will become something that carries into the big leagues but at every level, Delaplane has found success. The stuff doesn’t play as well at the big leagues, and Delaplane is probably going to be a middle reliever at the big league level.

But if Delaplane can continue to defy expectations, he’ll be a weapon for the Mariners going forward. He will likely start the year in Tacoma, but manager Scott Servais has voiced a lot of support for the right-handed pitcher. Delaplane has a good shot to make the club out of spring training but will make his debut at some point in 2020, pending his health.

Pick Analysis. player. 62. Scouting Report. RHP. MLB ETA: 2020. JoeyGerber. 21

We wrap today’s portion of the list with our second-highest ranked reliever on our list, Joey Gerber. Why does Gerber edge out Delaplane in our ranks? Gerber has better stuff than Delaplane and it isn’t all that close.

His fastball sits 94-97 mph with great life up in the zone. Gerber gets even more value from the pitch thanks to some deception in the delivery and it is a true 65-grade pitch. Gerber’s slider flashes plus, sitting 86-89 with a sharp movement. He can overthrow it on occasion, giving the pitch a cement mix spin that stays over the plate.

He needs better control and has the stuff to get away with the occasional mistake. If he can harness his stuff and throw it with average command, he has closer potential. Gerber will probably start the year in AAA Tacoma and should see the big leagues in 2020.

Gerber should excel early as a set-up man if nothing changes, but a few tweaks to the slider and better control could land him as the closer for the next winning Mariners team.

Next. Top 40 Prospects: 30-26. dark

In our next installment, we will enter our Top 20 Mariners prospects. The next group has a nice balance of high-upside plays and high-floor, probable big leaguers. The Mariners would greatly benefit from one or more of these guys from reaching their ceiling, but with the Top 10 as stacked as it is, if all 40% of them reach their 80% plateau, they’ll be just fine.

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