Review: My Shadow Draft

I wouldn’t say that I pride myself in anything really. My knowledge is actually rather fickle and that’s just in general. From random TV Shows (Community, Psych, Heroes, ect) to Baseball, the depth of knowledge is rarely so great that I can’t ever learn any more from a situation that arises or a specific individual. That’s one of the great things about reading blogs from other people, most of the time regardless of the subject you learn something.
The other day I was reading about Jack London, writer of the beloved novel “White Fang”. You know the Disney movie starring Ethan Hawk in the 90’s, well there is a book too. It was actually written first, if you could believe such a thing. Turns out good ol’ Jack London was a HUGE socialist. Now, I’m not trying to bring politics to the blog–I have a particular disdain for all the junk that is currently floating around my facebook right now– but it was something that particularly surprised me. Who would’ve guessed that one? Not me.
Anyways, while on the subject of knowledge, I do believe that I have a pretty good handle on the MLB Draft. I mean, as much as anyone could have without traveling around. I watch a lot of video; I subscribe to a lot of different writers specifically for it and I bug a lot of people that I really respect.
It’s partially why I enjoy performing a Mariners Shadow draft the past couple of years.
That said it’s always cool to compare what I think should have been done versus what actually was done. I mean why not. Let’s see how much I know. Let’s compare the 2010 and 2011 McNamara drafts versus what I produced. I don’t really think I did all that well, but again; let’s just see where things fell.
2010
McNamara
POS
$cost$
Harrison
POS
$cost$
R1-STaijuan Walker
RHP
800,000
Stetson Allie
RHP
2,250,000
R2Marcus Littlewood
SS
900,000
AJ Cole
RHP
2,000,000
R3
Ryne Stanek
RHP
DNS
Jake Hernandez
C
DNS
R4James Paxton
LHP
942,000
James Paxton
LHP
942,000
R5Stephen Pryor
RHP
153,000
Jordan Buckley
OF
DNS
R6Christian Carmichael
C
150,000
Robbie Ray
LHP
799,000
R7Mickey Wiswall
1B
150,000
John Hinson
2B/3B
DNS
R8Jabari Blash
OF
140,000
Steve Wilkerson
SS
DNS
R9Luke Taylor
RHP
125,000
Phil Wunderlich
1B
100,000
R10Tyler Burgoon
RHP
125,000
Adam Eaton
OF
125,000
R11
Jon Keller
RHP
DNS
Martin Viramontes
LHP
DNS
R12Stefen Romero
3B
100,000
Austin Wilson
OF
DNS
R13Jason Markovitz
LHP
Signed
Chase Burnette
OF
100,000
R14
Tyler Linehan
LHP
DNS
Jimmy Hodgskin
LHP
DNS
R15Charles Kaalekhi
RHP
125,000
Jordan Shipers
LHP
800,000
Total
3,710,000
Total
7,116,000
Obviously, I came out on the expensive side, breaking the 7 million dollar mark, but really that would only place me 12th among all teams in MLB. While yes, it’s on the expensive side it’s hardly what I consider going all out. My goal is normally to attempt to stay below the 8 million dollar mark.
Really the biggest difference between the two different drafts, at least in my eyes, is the 7 different guys that failed to sign in my draft compared to that of the 3 for the McNamara group (kind of sounds like some evil organization in a “B movie”).
In all honest, I think the talent pools of the two drafts are pretty comparable. Looking back now a year and a half later from the event (even if that’s not necessarily the appropriate amount of time for such an evaluation), you can see that I brought into the organization three possible above average starting pitchers.
Stetson Allie probably was a poor choosing as it looks like he almost certainly will end up in the bullpen at this point, and may never be A) worth his signing bonus, B) as good as Stephen Pryor and even C) a Major League pitcher. That said, in fairness people warned me and I choose not to listen.
Overall I give the McNamara group the edge. But, considering everything I do think I did grab a few solid pieces out of the draft and it’s too bad the likes of Jake Hernandez and John Hinson didn’t sign because I think that it is possible that I could have come out even.
Now looking at the 2011 draft, I was determined to draft more “signable” guys while not going a projected 10 million dollar budget. I upped it a bit since they had the #2 pick and you knew they were going to spend a little more than normal.
Let’s take a look.
2011
McNamara
POS
$cost$
Harrison
POS
$cost$
R1Danny Hultzen
LHP
6,350,000
Dylan Bundy
RHP
4,000,000
R2Brad Miller
SS
750,000
Jason Esposito
3B
600,000
R3
Kevin Cron
1B
DNS
Pratt Maynard
C
315,000
R3-SCarter Capps
RHP
500,000
Ian Gardeck
RHP
DNS
R4John Hicks
C
240,000
Nicky Delmonico
3B
1,525,000
R5Tyler Marlette
C
650,000
Ryan Wright
2B
225,000
R6James Zamarripa
OF
200,000
Tyler Dugas
OF
DNS
R7Steve Proscia
3B
160,000
Burch Smith
RHP
250,000
R8Carson Smith
RHP
215,000
Carlos Rodon
LHP
DNS
R9Cavan Cohoes
SS
650,000
Devin Jones
RHP
97,500
R10Dan Paolini
2B
125,000
Dusty Robinson
OF
95,000
R11Cameron Hobson
LHP
Signed
Preston Tucker
1B
DNS
R12Mike Dowd
C
100,000
Blake Forsland
LHP
DNS
R13Jamal Austin
OF
Signed
Austin Nola
SS
DNS
R14Cody Weiss
RHP
Signed
Elvin Soto
C
DNS
R15Mike McGee
OF
Signed
Trey Ford
SS
Signed
Total
9,940,000
Total
7,107,500
Okay, a few thoughts come immediately to mind. The first was I was surprised how many college guys DIDN’T sign. I thoroughly expected Gardeck, Dugas, Tucker and Nola all to sign, well at least half of them. That really kind annoyed me and it also explains why I am nearly 3 million dollars under the Mariners budget. That said I feel as if the talent that I brought in was just as good if not better at this point. Of course we won’t *really* know anything about this draft class for another 3-5 years down the road.
I really like my class right now and in the effort to remain impartial I’m going to say for the time being the two classes are about even. But, I can’t wait to review this next year.
What do you guys think anyone that you would have drafted at different points, any sleepers out there?