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MLB Predictions Revisited
By Dan Hughes
It’s that time of year. The 2014 MLB season is officially over with the San Francisco Giants defeating the Kansas City Royals in a thrilling seven-game series.
Now, it’s time to take a look back and hold myself accountable for my preseason predictions. Every year I look back at what went right, what went wrong and what was just downright embarrassing.
The only thing we don’t know the answers to yet are who won the major awards. We can speculate all we want as to who won, but until they are officially announced, I will hold off on looking back at those until we know.
I will break the teams down into groups based on how far off my projection was. Let’s start with the ones I got right. Plus or minus indicates how far off my prediction was to their actual win total.
Nailed It (+/- 0-4 games)
Minnesota 0
New York (AL) 0
Oct 12, 2014; St. Louis, MO, USA; St. Louis Cardinals second baseman Kolten Wong (16) celebrates after hitting the walk-off solo home run against the San Francisco Giants during the 9th inning in game two of the 2014 NLCS playoff baseball game at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
Oakland 0
San Diego +1
St. Louis -1
Milwaukee -1
Chicago (AL) -1
Detroit +2
Los Angeles (NL) +2
San Francisco +2
Cleveland +3
Chicago (NL) -3
Toronto -3
Close, But No Cigar (+/- 5-9 games)
Philadelphia +5
Seattle -5
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Atlanta +6
New York (NL) -6
Washington -6
Cincinnati +7
Houston -8
Colorado +9
Miami -9
Caught Me By Surprise (+/- 10-14 games)
Pittsburgh -10
Los Angeles (AL) -11
Kansas City -11
Tampa Bay +12
What Was I Drinking? (+/- 15+)
Arizona +17
Texas +18
Baltimore -18
Boston +19
One thing I will take away from this is that I had the most zeroes and plus/minus one teams than I’ve ever had in one season. I was also able to predict half of the teams within five games of their actual record. I’ll take that any year.
As for the playoffs. Well, I said that an American League Central team was going to lose the World Series to a National League West team. I just picked the wrong ones.
The Dodgers did make the playoffs. As did the Tigers. But it was the Royals and the Giants that fought it out over seven amazing games.
Now, it’s all over. Time to look ahead to the Hot Stove season. With November right around the corner, we are going to be all over the rumors, news and other speculation surrounding the team.
We will be doing free agent player profiles, daily news/rumor updates as well as all of the other stuff you like here at SodoMojo.