February 22, 2013; Peoria, AZ, USA; Seattle Mariners designated hitter Kendrys Morales (8) warms up on the on-deck circle during the fourth inning against the San Diego Padres at Peoria Sports Complex. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Now How Many Games Will the M’s Win in 2013?


Back in September, when the season was all but over, I created a poll to see what the SM readers expected out of the M’s, prior to the team making any  moves in the offseason. I advised the voters to use whatever criterion they wanted, allowing them freedom to predict both the improvement from the current team, as well as any acquisitions they saw coming in the offseason.

The poll featured six ranges of win totals: Less than 70, 71-75, 76-80, 81-85, 86-90, and more than 90. I voted for 81-85, and specifically projected 83 wins. I foresaw improvement from the kids, as well as us bringing in a solid middle of the order bat, which would account for the 8 win improvement from 2012.

Here is what you guys thought back in September:

As you can see, people did not see too extreme of a change for the upcoming year. 76-80 came in 1st, meaning most people expected a  small improvement over last year. From there, 81-85 (the group I fell into) came in second, and 86-90 was the only other range chosen, pulling in votes from a few optimistic fans.

These projections came before any real moves had been made, and were based on various assumptions on what kind of changes Jack and company would make, making it tough to get a great idea of what was in store.

So how do the actual moves compare to what I was expecting? I am personally expecting about 84 wins this year, one above what I originally projected. They did what I expected in acquiring a middle-of-the-order bat (or two) in Kendrys Morales (and Mike Morse). He should provide the true power bat this team needs, so they do not have to rely too much on the young guys. However, I do expect a bounce-back year from Dustin Ackley, Jesus Montero, and yes, Justin Smoak. All that combined should add close to 10 wins to last years total.

In addition to Morales and Morse, the M’s brought in veteran outfielders Raul Ibanez and Jason Bay, and veteran lefty Joe Saunders. However, they also lost Jason Vargas and John Jaso. How those moves will effect the success of the team is up to you. Below is the poll, identical to the one from September. What do you expect now that the offseason is over, and the improvement, or damage, is done?

How many games will the M's win in 2013?

View Results

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In addition to voting in the poll, feel free to leave your choice in the comments, as well as some details on why you chose what you did.

Tags: 2013 Wins Featured Popular Seattle Mariners

  • maqman

    For the past couple of months I’ve been predicting 82 to 88 wins. Given the players they have brought in (and the deadwood they have pruned) and what we’ve seen so far in spring training I’m even a little more optimistic and voted for 85-90 wins. Naturally this is dependent on them not encountering major loses to the DL for significant time. Even then there is going to be a lot of help close at hand in Tacoma. The depth available is better than I anticipated and I think some players are going to make it hard to cut to 25 men for game 1.

    • JJ Allen Keller

      Some good points. There definitely is some more depth. Guys like Wells, Thames and Peguero are now 5th, 6th, 7th options rather than platoon starters or 4th guys.

  • JJ Allen Keller

    Would really like to hear from the people who voted 71-75 and why. Hard for me to invision a worse year than last year.